UPDATE April 2023: I have now updated the stress test tool to take into account a new scenario, as described in full at the foot of this article. The new scenario looks at what would happen if there was a full-scale banking crisis.
Investors, be they professional or DIY investors, don't give enough consideration to the downside potential of their portfolios. When engineers build a new skyscraper they don't just focus on reaching for the stars. In fact, they pay more attention to the structure's ability to remain upright. How will the structure cope in high winds or an earthquake? How much weight can it hold per square inch? This stress testing of materials and construction ultimately lays the foundation for the success of the project.
Building an investment portfolio shouldn't be any different. The trouble is that investors are always aiming for the stars and pay less attention to what will happen in times of market stress.
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