How the BP share slump affects your investments/pensions and who is most affected
A number of today’s papers are running with the story that the plummeting BP share price (down 34% since mid-April) has wiped billions from pension funds across the country. So how has your pension fund been affected?
BP’s steady dividend payments have been an investment of choice for a lot of final salary pension funds as well as investment fund managers. The desire for returns has led to an ever growing exposure to stocks such as BP.
Accordingly the BBC report that ‘’ The sharp fall in BP's share price is bad news for UK pension funds, which are major shareholders in the firm.
The oil company has claimed that it pays £1 in every £7 of dividends that the pension funds receive from FTSE 100 companies.
Although the price change does not directly affect BP's ability to pay dividends, it does indicate that markets are anticipating a significant cut’’
So with falling share prices and a bleaker outlook for dividends it’s no wonder that people approaching retirement are concerned.
But behind the headlines, as is often the case, there are very few figures backing up the predictions of pensioner poverty. While I can’t shed light on the BP exposure of individual final salary schemes (but suggested to be around 1.5% of assets on average) it is possible, but admittedly difficult, to shed some light for those who save via private pensions, such as SIPPs and personal pensions.
Money to the Masses has analysed over 2,500 of the unit trust /OEIC investments out there and come up with a list of the top 18 funds with the highest direct exposure to BP shares. Investing in unit trusts/OEICS can be done directly or via investment vehicles such as personal pensions or SIPPs. So the list is relevant to investors generally, not just pension savers.
Insurance companies, the providers of personal pensions and SIPPS, also offer their own internally managed pension funds, as well as access to the externally managed unit trusts, but the data on the share holdings within these managed funds is usually out of date, often by as much as 5 months. However, while analysing the overall data the general trend amongst fund managers has been a slight reduction, if anything at all, in their BP exposure over time. So I think we can safely assume that the managed pension funds will not have ramped up their BP exposure in the interim. But even when taking into account the ‘old’ data for the managed pension funds the usual unit trust/OEIC suspects still crop up time and again.
Given that most of the data bellow is the position as at 30th April, prior to sharpest falls in the BP share price, the % holding figures are not skewed by the worst of the drop in the BP share price. In all likelihood if you were able to view the % BP holding as at today the figures will likely be 30% lower which would reflect the market price fall rather than an active fund management sell-off.
|Fund Name||% holding in BP||Position as at|
|Martin Currie - UK Growth||9||30/04/2010|
|S&W - Munro||8.96||30/04/2010|
|Clerical Medical - UK High Income||8.9||31/03/2010|
|Pru - Newton Higher Income||8.9||20/02/2010|
|GLG - UK Select||8.9||30/04/2010|
|M&G - UK Select||8.8||30/04/2010|
|Ignis - UK Focus||8.7||30/04/2010|
|Prudential - Equity Income||8.7||30/04/2010|
|JP Morgan - UK Managed Equity||8.6||30/04/2010|
|Wesleyan - Growth||8.31||30/04/2010|
|Standard Life Inv - UK Equity High Income||8.3||30/04/2010|
|M&G - Dividend||8.2||30/04/2010|
|JO Hambro Capital Management - UK Equity Income||8.1||30/04/2010|
|Halifax - UK FTSE 100 Index Tracking||8.1||30/04/2010|
|Prudential - UK Growth||8.1||20/02/2010|
|Jupiter - High Income||8.05||30/04/2010|
|Family - Charities Ethical||8.04||31/03/2010|
|Jupiter - Income||8.01||30/04/2010|
(Canada Life’s Growth fund also had a significant exposure to BP but the publicised fund data is over 6 months old)
So if your portfolio is well diversified, i.e. has exposure to non-equity investment/funds as well then there should be no need for panic. But obviously if your entire pension fund is invested in just one of the aforementioned funds, plus you don’t have long until retirement, then you might need to rethink your investment strategy. But the actual drop in your pension fund as a direct result of the oil disaster will still only be a couple of %. The biggest danger to your pension fund/investment is still another economic downturn.
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